Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas SC

20 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.7 pp

Colorado Rapids II

North Texas SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.3% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 49.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.6% 2.88 DRAW 22.8% 4.24 AWAY 43.6% 2.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates North Texas SC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.3% win probability, compared with 43.6% implied by the market. The 5.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

North Texas SC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Colorado Rapids II North Texas SC

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours North Texas SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Colorado Rapids II North Texas SC

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.3

North Texas SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Colorado Rapids II North Texas SC

The combined recent performance profile favours North Texas SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Colorado Rapids II ↓ -0.05 (-1.6%)

North Texas SC ↓ -0.03 (-1.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.