Karlbergs BK vs Sollentuna United FF

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Karlbergs BK

Sollentuna United FF

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.2% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 30.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% 2.26 DRAW 25.1% 3.80 AWAY 32.7% 2.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Karlbergs BK relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.2% win probability, compared with 42.2% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Karlbergs BK

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Karlbergs BK Sollentuna United FF

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Karlbergs BK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Karlbergs BK Sollentuna United FF

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Karlbergs BK Sollentuna United FF

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Karlbergs BK ↑ +0.27 (+13.3%)

Sollentuna United FF ↓ -0.32 (-10.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.