Vänersborgs IF vs Ahlafors IF

25 Sep 2026 · 19:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Vänersborgs IF

Ahlafors IF

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.2% DRAW 19.9% AWAY 64.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.2% 5.81 DRAW 20.9% 4.50 AWAY 62.8% 1.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Ahlafors IF has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vänersborgs IF Ahlafors IF

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 15.0 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Ahlafors IF, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vänersborgs IF Ahlafors IF

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Ahlafors IF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vänersborgs IF Ahlafors IF

The combined recent performance profile favours Ahlafors IF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Vänersborgs IF ↑ +0.71 (+13.9%)

Ahlafors IF ↑ +0.09 (+6.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.