Hestrafors IF vs Onsala BK

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Hestrafors IF

Onsala BK

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.5% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 29.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.3% 1.94 DRAW 21.6% 4.42 AWAY 29.1% 3.29

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Onsala BK

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hestrafors IF Onsala BK

Shots 11.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hestrafors IF Onsala BK

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hestrafors IF Onsala BK

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Hestrafors IF ↓ -0.41 (-17.6%)

Onsala BK ↑ +0.99 (+42.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.