Smedby AIS vs Nykopings BIS

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Smedby AIS

Nykopings BIS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.3% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 51.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.9% 3.83 DRAW 22.8% 4.34 AWAY 51.3% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Smedby AIS

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Smedby AIS Nykopings BIS

Shots 8.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 4.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Smedby AIS, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Smedby AIS Nykopings BIS

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Nykopings BIS has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Smedby AIS Nykopings BIS

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Smedby AIS ↑ +1.13 (+41.7%)

Nykopings BIS ↓ -0.15 (-7.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.