FOC Farsta vs Fittja IF

02 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

FOC Farsta

Fittja IF

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 76.8% DRAW 12.8% AWAY 10.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 74.2% 1.30 DRAW 14.5% 6.65 AWAY 11.3% 8.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FOC Farsta relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 76.8% win probability, compared with 74.2% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fittja IF

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FOC Farsta Fittja IF

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FOC Farsta Fittja IF

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.0

FOC Farsta has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FOC Farsta Fittja IF

The combined recent performance profile favours FOC Farsta.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FOC Farsta ↓ -0.17 (-11.6%)

Fittja IF ↑ +3.90 (+84.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.