Staffanstorp United vs Sölvesborgs GoIF

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Staffanstorp United

Sölvesborgs GoIF

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.3% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 32.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% 2.28 DRAW 22.9% 4.20 AWAY 34.9% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Staffanstorp United relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.3% win probability, compared with 42.2% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Staffanstorp United

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Staffanstorp United Sölvesborgs GoIF

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Staffanstorp United Sölvesborgs GoIF

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Staffanstorp United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Staffanstorp United Sölvesborgs GoIF

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Staffanstorp United ↓ -0.17 (-7.0%)

Sölvesborgs GoIF ↑ +0.45 (+19.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.