Lilla Torg FF vs Nosaby

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.8 pp

Lilla Torg FF

Nosaby

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.5% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 31.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.8% 2.40 DRAW 23.0% 4.26 AWAY 36.2% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Lilla Torg FF clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.5% win probability, compared with 40.8% implied by the market. The 5.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Lilla Torg FF has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lilla Torg FF Nosaby

Shots 7.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lilla Torg FF Nosaby

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Lilla Torg FF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lilla Torg FF Nosaby

The combined recent performance profile favours Lilla Torg FF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Lilla Torg FF = (0.0%)

Nosaby ↑ +0.35 (+14.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.