Hammarby TFF vs IFK Stocksund

25 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Hammarby TFF

IFK Stocksund

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 80.4% DRAW 11.5% AWAY 8.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.6% 1.22 DRAW 13.2% 7.15 AWAY 9.2% 10.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Hammarby TFF relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 80.4% win probability, compared with 77.6% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Hammarby TFF

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hammarby TFF IFK Stocksund

Shots 11.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hammarby TFF IFK Stocksund

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Hammarby TFF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hammarby TFF IFK Stocksund

The combined recent performance profile favours Hammarby TFF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Hammarby TFF ↑ +0.01 (+0.8%)

IFK Stocksund ↑ +1.15 (+12.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.