JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora Tallinn II

18 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

JK Tallinna Kalev

FC Flora Tallinn II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.2% DRAW 20.2% AWAY 36.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.9% 2.25 DRAW 21.4% 4.50 AWAY 35.7% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: JK Tallinna Kalev

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

JK Tallinna Kalev FC Flora Tallinn II

Shots 15.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JK Tallinna Kalev FC Flora Tallinn II

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 8.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.8

FC Flora Tallinn II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JK Tallinna Kalev FC Flora Tallinn II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

JK Tallinna Kalev ↑ +0.12 (+5.6%)

FC Flora Tallinn II ↑ +0.07 (+2.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.