CRB vs Cuiaba

27 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.2 pp

CRB

Cuiaba

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.6% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 19.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% 1.99 DRAW 28.6% 3.37 AWAY 23.0% 4.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates CRB clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.6% win probability, compared with 48.4% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CRB

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CRB Cuiaba

Shots 22.5 · On target 7.3 Shots 14.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours CRB, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CRB Cuiaba

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CRB Cuiaba

The combined recent performance profile favours CRB.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CRB ↑ +0.04 (+2.1%)

Cuiaba = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.