Operario PR vs Ceara

26 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Operario PR

Ceara

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.7% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 28.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% 2.15 DRAW 29.0% 3.31 AWAY 26.3% 3.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Ceara has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Operario PR Ceara

Shots 11.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 14.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Operario PR Ceara

Shots allowed 21.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Operario PR Ceara

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Operario PR ↑ +0.02 (+0.9%)

Ceara ↑ +0.27 (+8.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.