HFX Wanderers vs Inter Toronto

20 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

HFX Wanderers

Inter Toronto

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.1% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 24.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.7% 1.85 DRAW 24.9% 3.78 AWAY 24.4% 3.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: HFX Wanderers

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

HFX Wanderers Inter Toronto

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

HFX Wanderers Inter Toronto

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

HFX Wanderers Inter Toronto

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

HFX Wanderers ↑ +0.13 (+7.8%)

Inter Toronto ↓ -0.35 (-8.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.