Vancouver FC vs Inter Toronto

24 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Vancouver FC

Inter Toronto

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.6% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 41.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.7% 2.75 DRAW 25.1% 3.81 AWAY 40.2% 2.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Inter Toronto

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vancouver FC Inter Toronto

Shots 7.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Inter Toronto, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vancouver FC Inter Toronto

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vancouver FC Inter Toronto

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Vancouver FC ↑ +1.07 (+63.7%)

Inter Toronto ↓ -1.43 (-37.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.