Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry FC

01 Oct 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

Atletico Ottawa

Cavalry FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.4% DRAW 19.4% AWAY 62.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.1% 4.80 DRAW 20.9% 4.63 AWAY 59.0% 1.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Cavalry FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.2% win probability, compared with 59.0% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Cavalry FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Ottawa Cavalry FC

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 14.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Cavalry FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Ottawa Cavalry FC

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Cavalry FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Ottawa Cavalry FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Cavalry FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Atletico Ottawa = (0.0%)

Cavalry FC ↑ +0.05 (+3.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.