Varbergs BoIS FC U21 vs IFK Goteborg U21

30 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Varbergs BoIS FC U21

IFK Goteborg U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.0% DRAW 17.2% AWAY 24.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% 1.63 DRAW 18.8% 4.79 AWAY 25.9% 3.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Varbergs BoIS FC U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.0% win probability, compared with 55.3% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Varbergs BoIS FC U21

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Varbergs BoIS FC U21 IFK Goteborg U21

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 6.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Varbergs BoIS FC U21 IFK Goteborg U21

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Varbergs BoIS FC U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Varbergs BoIS FC U21 IFK Goteborg U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Varbergs BoIS FC U21 = (0.0%)

IFK Goteborg U21 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.