Zenit St Petersburg U19 vs Spartak Moscow U19

18 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +7.3 pp

Zenit St Petersburg U19

Spartak Moscow U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.9% DRAW 17.2% AWAY 14.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.6% 1.47 DRAW 19.9% 4.55 AWAY 18.6% 4.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Zenit St Petersburg U19 substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 68.9% win probability, compared with 61.6% implied by the market. The 7.3 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Zenit St Petersburg U19 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zenit St Petersburg U19 Spartak Moscow U19

Shots 12.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Zenit St Petersburg U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zenit St Petersburg U19 Spartak Moscow U19

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 7.0

Zenit St Petersburg U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zenit St Petersburg U19 Spartak Moscow U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Zenit St Petersburg U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Zenit St Petersburg U19 ↓ -0.25 (-14.5%)

Spartak Moscow U19 ↑ +0.84 (+20.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.