Scotland vs Switzerland

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Scotland

Switzerland

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.8% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 51.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.4% 4.51 DRAW 27.5% 3.51 AWAY 51.1% 1.89

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Switzerland has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Scotland Switzerland

Shots 11.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Switzerland, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Scotland Switzerland

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Scotland Switzerland

The combined recent performance profile favours Switzerland.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Scotland ↑ +0.98 (+27.8%)

Switzerland ↓ -0.38 (-16.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.