Austria vs Kosovo

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

Austria

Kosovo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.2% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 19.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.9% 1.62 DRAW 23.4% 4.15 AWAY 16.7% 5.81

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Kosovo relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 19.8% win probability, compared with 16.7% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Kosovo has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Austria Kosovo

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Kosovo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Austria Kosovo

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Kosovo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Austria Kosovo

The combined recent performance profile favours Kosovo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Austria ↑ +0.09 (+5.9%)

Kosovo ↓ -0.76 (-11.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.