Czechia vs England

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Czechia

England

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 9.3% DRAW 15.6% AWAY 75.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 8.9% 10.92 DRAW 15.9% 6.11 AWAY 75.2% 1.29

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: England

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Czechia England

Shots 10.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours England, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Czechia England

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Czechia England

The combined recent performance profile favours England.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Czechia ↑ +4.15 (+61.3%)

England ↓ -0.22 (-14.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.