Belgium vs Türkiye

02 Oct 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Belgium

Türkiye

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.4% DRAW 32.2% AWAY 26.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.3% 3.70 DRAW 31.4% 5.10 AWAY 25.2% 6.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Türkiye

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Belgium Türkiye

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 17.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Belgium Türkiye

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Belgium Türkiye

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Belgium ↑ +2.27 (+158.7%)

Türkiye ↑ +0.63 (+11.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.