Hungary vs Georgia

02 Oct 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Hungary

Georgia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.6% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 28.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% 2.32 DRAW 29.5% 3.28 AWAY 28.7% 3.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Georgia

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hungary Georgia

Shots 17.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hungary Georgia

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Georgia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hungary Georgia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Hungary ↑ +0.55 (+31.1%)

Georgia ↓ -0.64 (-15.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.