Israel vs Rep of Ireland

27 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Israel

Rep of Ireland

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.5% DRAW 30.5% AWAY 37.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.3% 2.83 DRAW 30.3% 3.20 AWAY 35.4% 2.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Rep of Ireland

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Israel Rep of Ireland

Shots 6.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Rep of Ireland, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Israel Rep of Ireland

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Israel Rep of Ireland

The combined recent performance profile favours Rep of Ireland.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Israel ↑ +0.18 (+6.8%)

Rep of Ireland ↓ -0.11 (-3.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.