Romania vs Bosnia-Herzegovina

28 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Romania

Bosnia-Herzegovina

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 29.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% 2.30 DRAW 28.5% 3.40 AWAY 29.4% 3.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Bosnia-Herzegovina has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Romania Bosnia-Herzegovina

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Romania Bosnia-Herzegovina

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Romania Bosnia-Herzegovina

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Romania ↑ +0.24 (+11.1%)

Bosnia-Herzegovina ↓ -0.26 (-7.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.