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UEFA Nations League C ·

Faroe Islands vs Slovakia

02 Oct 2026 · 20:45
NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp
Faroe Islands
Slovakia
HOME 13.0% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 62.4%
HOME 14.3% 6.75 DRAW 25.1% 3.85 AWAY 60.5% 1.60

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Slovakia has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Faroe Islands Slovakia
Shots 10.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 15.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Slovakia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Faroe Islands Slovakia
Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.0

Slovakia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Faroe Islands Slovakia

The combined recent performance profile favours Slovakia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Faroe Islands ↑ +0.31 (+4.8%)
Slovakia ↑ +0.09 (+5.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.