Moldova vs Faroe Islands

29 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Moldova

Faroe Islands

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.1% DRAW 33.4% AWAY 37.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.5% 2.98 DRAW 32.9% 2.95 AWAY 34.6% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Faroe Islands relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.5% win probability, compared with 34.6% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Faroe Islands has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Moldova Faroe Islands

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 11.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Faroe Islands, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Moldova Faroe Islands

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Faroe Islands has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Moldova Faroe Islands

The combined recent performance profile favours Faroe Islands.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Moldova ↑ +0.68 (+29.6%)

Faroe Islands ↓ -0.26 (-8.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.