FC Flora Tallinn (W) vs Harju JK Laagri (W)

03 Oct 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

FC Flora Tallinn (W)

Harju JK Laagri (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 94.8% DRAW 3.7% AWAY 1.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 93.3% 1.10 DRAW 4.9% 21.00 AWAY 1.9% 55.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC Flora Tallinn (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Flora Tallinn (W) Harju JK Laagri (W)

Shots 17.8 · On target 7.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Flora Tallinn (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Flora Tallinn (W) Harju JK Laagri (W)

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 19.0 · On target allowed 8.5

FC Flora Tallinn (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Flora Tallinn (W) Harju JK Laagri (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Flora Tallinn (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Flora Tallinn (W) ↑ +0.08 (+7.3%)

Harju JK Laagri (W) ↑ +21.00 (+61.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.