Almirante Brown vs Acassuso

26 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

Almirante Brown

Acassuso

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.3% DRAW 29.8% AWAY 15.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.6% 1.77 DRAW 29.3% 3.30 AWAY 16.1% 6.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Almirante Brown

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Almirante Brown Acassuso

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 5.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Almirante Brown, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Almirante Brown Acassuso

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Acassuso has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Almirante Brown Acassuso

The combined recent performance profile favours Almirante Brown.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Almirante Brown ↑ +0.02 (+1.4%)

Acassuso ↓ -0.50 (-7.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.