Changwon City vs Yangpyeong FC

03 Oct 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Changwon City

Yangpyeong FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.9% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 25.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% 1.99 DRAW 27.1% 3.57 AWAY 24.5% 3.94

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Yangpyeong FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Changwon City Yangpyeong FC

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Changwon City Yangpyeong FC

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Changwon City Yangpyeong FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Changwon City ↓ -0.22 (-9.9%)

Yangpyeong FC ↑ +0.74 (+23.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.