Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn

03 Oct 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Ferro Carril Oeste

Deportivo Madryn

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.0% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 20.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.1% 1.82 DRAW 27.8% 3.48 AWAY 19.1% 5.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportivo Madryn

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ferro Carril Oeste Deportivo Madryn

Shots 4.8 · On target 1.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Madryn, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ferro Carril Oeste Deportivo Madryn

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Ferro Carril Oeste has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ferro Carril Oeste Deportivo Madryn

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ferro Carril Oeste ↑ +0.08 (+4.1%)

Deportivo Madryn ↓ -0.17 (-3.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.