CA Atlanta vs Agropecuario

27 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

CA Atlanta

Agropecuario

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% DRAW 30.5% AWAY 19.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.7% 1.93 DRAW 30.1% 3.18 AWAY 20.2% 4.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Agropecuario

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Atlanta Agropecuario

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Agropecuario, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Atlanta Agropecuario

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.5

CA Atlanta has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Atlanta Agropecuario

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CA Atlanta ↓ -0.27 (-12.3%)

Agropecuario ↑ +0.72 (+17.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.