FK Aktobe vs FK Ulytau

18 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.5 pp

FK Aktobe

FK Ulytau

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.8% DRAW 21.3% AWAY 13.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.3% 1.53 DRAW 23.1% 4.08 AWAY 15.7% 5.99

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FK Aktobe clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 65.8% win probability, compared with 61.3% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Aktobe has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Aktobe FK Ulytau

Shots 15.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Aktobe FK Ulytau

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 7.5

FK Aktobe has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Aktobe FK Ulytau

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Aktobe.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FK Aktobe ↓ -0.32 (-17.3%)

FK Ulytau ↑ +1.68 (+39.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.