Athlone Town vs Cork City

02 Oct 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Athlone Town

Cork City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.8% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 44.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.2% 3.10 DRAW 23.5% 4.12 AWAY 45.3% 2.13

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cork City

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Athlone Town Cork City

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Cork City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Athlone Town Cork City

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Athlone Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Athlone Town Cork City

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Athlone Town ↓ -0.44 (-12.3%)

Cork City ↑ +0.22 (+11.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.