Wexford FC vs Longford Town

02 Oct 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.1 pp

Wexford FC

Longford Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.7% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 23.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.6% 1.91 DRAW 22.9% 4.21 AWAY 26.5% 3.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Wexford FC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.7% win probability, compared with 50.6% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Wexford FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wexford FC Longford Town

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Wexford FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wexford FC Longford Town

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Wexford FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wexford FC Longford Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Wexford FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Wexford FC ↑ +0.14 (+7.9%)

Longford Town ↓ -0.37 (-9.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.