Finn Harps vs Kerry FC

02 Oct 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Finn Harps

Kerry FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.1% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 48.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.6% 3.80 DRAW 25.0% 3.89 AWAY 49.5% 1.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Finn Harps

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Finn Harps Kerry FC

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Finn Harps Kerry FC

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Finn Harps Kerry FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Finn Harps ↑ +1.06 (+38.7%)

Kerry FC ↓ -0.55 (-21.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.