Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women vs Lokomotiv Moscow Women

03 Oct 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.4 pp

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women

Lokomotiv Moscow Women

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 6.5% DRAW 9.0% AWAY 84.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 7.9% 12.00 DRAW 10.9% 8.75 AWAY 81.2% 1.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Lokomotiv Moscow Women relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 84.6% win probability, compared with 81.2% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Lokomotiv Moscow Women has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women Lokomotiv Moscow Women

Shots 4.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Lokomotiv Moscow Women, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women Lokomotiv Moscow Women

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Lokomotiv Moscow Women has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women Lokomotiv Moscow Women

The combined recent performance profile favours Lokomotiv Moscow Women.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women ↓ -20.00 (-62.5%)

Lokomotiv Moscow Women ↑ +0.17 (+16.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.