GrIFK Reservi vs NuPS

03 Oct 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

GrIFK Reservi

NuPS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.3% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 39.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.7% 2.33 DRAW 21.7% 4.39 AWAY 37.6% 2.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: GrIFK Reservi

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

GrIFK Reservi NuPS

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours GrIFK Reservi, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

GrIFK Reservi NuPS

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 4.8

NuPS has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

GrIFK Reservi NuPS

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

GrIFK Reservi ↑ +0.10 (+4.7%)

NuPS ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.