NuPS vs Poxyt

18 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

NuPS

Poxyt

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.2% DRAW 18.9% AWAY 25.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.3% 1.75 DRAW 20.3% 4.60 AWAY 26.4% 3.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: NuPS

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

NuPS Poxyt

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Poxyt, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NuPS Poxyt

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.8

NuPS has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NuPS Poxyt

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NuPS ↑ +0.05 (+2.9%)

Poxyt ↑ +0.24 (+7.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.