Saaksjærven Loiske vs TP-49

02 Oct 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +9.8 pp

Saaksjærven Loiske

TP-49

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.9% DRAW 10.2% AWAY 9.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.1% 1.37 DRAW 13.9% 6.93 AWAY 16.0% 6.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Saaksjærven Loiske substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 79.9% win probability, compared with 70.1% implied by the market. The 9.8 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Saaksjærven Loiske has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Saaksjærven Loiske TP-49

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 2.5 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Saaksjærven Loiske, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Saaksjærven Loiske TP-49

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 25.0 · On target allowed 15.8

Saaksjærven Loiske has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Saaksjærven Loiske TP-49

The combined recent performance profile favours Saaksjærven Loiske.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Saaksjærven Loiske = (0.0%)

TP-49 ↑ +1.00 (+20.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.