LAUTP II vs Kumu

01 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

LAUTP II

Kumu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% DRAW 19.3% AWAY 37.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.2% 2.16 DRAW 20.6% 4.64 AWAY 35.3% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: LAUTP II

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

LAUTP II Kumu

Shots 9.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 5.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours LAUTP II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

LAUTP II Kumu

Shots allowed 23.0 · On target allowed 8.8 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.5

Kumu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

LAUTP II Kumu

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

LAUTP II ↑ +0.16 (+8.0%)

Kumu ↑ +0.08 (+3.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.