Londrina vs Criciuma

03 Oct 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Londrina

Criciuma

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.0% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 41.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.6% 3.10 DRAW 28.9% 3.39 AWAY 39.5% 2.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Londrina

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Londrina Criciuma

Shots 17.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 17.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Londrina Criciuma

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Criciuma has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Londrina Criciuma

The combined recent performance profile favours Criciuma.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Londrina ↑ +0.33 (+11.9%)

Criciuma ↓ -0.15 (-5.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.