FK Kvant Obninsk vs Avangard Kursk

21 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

FK Kvant Obninsk

Avangard Kursk

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.1% DRAW 17.7% AWAY 63.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.6% 5.21 DRAW 18.3% 5.00 AWAY 64.1% 1.43

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Avangard Kursk

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Kvant Obninsk Avangard Kursk

Shots 2.3 · On target 1.0 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Avangard Kursk, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Kvant Obninsk Avangard Kursk

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.5

FK Kvant Obninsk has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Kvant Obninsk Avangard Kursk

The combined recent performance profile favours Avangard Kursk.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Kvant Obninsk = (0.0%)

Avangard Kursk = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.