Sevastopol vs Rubin Yalta

22 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Sevastopol

Rubin Yalta

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.1% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 15.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.1% 1.50 DRAW 23.5% 3.90 AWAY 15.4% 5.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Rubin Yalta

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sevastopol Rubin Yalta

Shots 2.3 · On target 1.5 Shots 4.8 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Rubin Yalta, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sevastopol Rubin Yalta

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Sevastopol has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sevastopol Rubin Yalta

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Sevastopol ↓ -0.12 (-7.4%)

Rubin Yalta ↓ -0.70 (-10.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.