Armenia vs Latvia

25 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Armenia

Latvia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.3% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 19.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.5% 1.82 DRAW 27.5% 3.54 AWAY 18.9% 5.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Latvia

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Armenia Latvia

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 12.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Armenia Latvia

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Armenia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Armenia Latvia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Armenia ↑ +0.06 (+3.6%)

Latvia ↓ -0.08 (-1.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.