Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake

24 Sep 2026 · 03:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Seattle Sounders

Real Salt Lake

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.1% DRAW 23.0% AWAY 22.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.1% 1.80 DRAW 23.6% 4.13 AWAY 22.3% 4.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Seattle Sounders

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Seattle Sounders Real Salt Lake

Shots 15.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Seattle Sounders Real Salt Lake

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Real Salt Lake has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Seattle Sounders Real Salt Lake

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Seattle Sounders ↓ -0.26 (-12.8%)

Real Salt Lake ↑ +0.92 (+26.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.