PPS vs FC Kontu

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

PPS

FC Kontu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.4% DRAW 14.2% AWAY 67.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.9% 5.40 DRAW 15.4% 6.26 AWAY 66.8% 1.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC Kontu has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

PPS FC Kontu

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours FC Kontu, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PPS FC Kontu

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 9.5 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 8.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PPS FC Kontu

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

PPS ↑ +1.20 (+28.6%)

FC Kontu = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.