FC Kontu vs LPS Helsinki

24 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +6.0 pp

FC Kontu

LPS Helsinki

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.8% DRAW 16.6% AWAY 62.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.6% 3.82 DRAW 18.8% 5.00 AWAY 56.6% 1.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates LPS Helsinki clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.6% win probability, compared with 56.6% implied by the market. The 6.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

LPS Helsinki has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Kontu LPS Helsinki

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 12.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours LPS Helsinki, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Kontu LPS Helsinki

Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 9.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3

LPS Helsinki has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Kontu LPS Helsinki

The combined recent performance profile favours LPS Helsinki.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Kontu ↓ -0.44 (-10.2%)

LPS Helsinki ↑ +0.20 (+13.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.