Töölön Taisto vs ToTe

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Töölön Taisto

ToTe

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.1% DRAW 20.4% AWAY 48.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.5% 3.20 DRAW 21.6% 4.68 AWAY 46.9% 2.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

ToTe has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Töölön Taisto ToTe

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours ToTe, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Töölön Taisto ToTe

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Töölön Taisto ToTe

The combined recent performance profile favours ToTe.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Töölön Taisto ↑ +0.70 (+28.0%)

ToTe ↑ +0.05 (+2.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.