Valtti vs VJS Vantaa II

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Valtti

VJS Vantaa II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.1% DRAW 17.4% AWAY 35.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.4% 2.21 DRAW 19.0% 5.05 AWAY 37.6% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Valtti relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.1% win probability, compared with 43.4% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Valtti has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Valtti VJS Vantaa II

Shots 15.3 · On target 7.8 Shots 14.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Valtti VJS Vantaa II

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Valtti has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Valtti VJS Vantaa II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Valtti ↑ +0.21 (+10.5%)

VJS Vantaa II ↓ -0.08 (-2.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.