Tips Vantaa vs Atlantis FC/PM

26 Sep 2026 · 17:15

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.1 pp

Tips Vantaa

Atlantis FC/PM

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.3% DRAW 11.7% AWAY 24.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.1% 1.63 DRAW 14.0% 6.77 AWAY 27.9% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Tips Vantaa substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 64.3% win probability, compared with 58.1% implied by the market. The 6.1 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Tips Vantaa has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tips Vantaa Atlantis FC/PM

Shots 12.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Tips Vantaa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tips Vantaa Atlantis FC/PM

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 7.0

Tips Vantaa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tips Vantaa Atlantis FC/PM

The combined recent performance profile favours Tips Vantaa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Tips Vantaa ↓ -0.22 (-11.9%)

Atlantis FC/PM ↑ +0.70 (+25.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.